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High
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If you build
it, they will come. Probably. Of course, if you only say youre going
to build it, they still might come, and if they dont, well, youve
saved yourself a lot of time and money. This may
be a cynical take on residential highrise construction, but its
also the reality in downtown Chicago. Even in the best of times, developers
of new highrises announce and advertise their projects as if theyre
done deals, leaving out some important contingencies. Virtually
every new highrise has to sell a certain number of condos (its presale
requirement, in the jargon) before lenders will give it the green
light, and many developers begin marketing units before they even have
financing or city approval fully in place. And these
arent the best of times. Theyre
not the worst of times either. In fact, real estate has proved remarkably
resilient during the current recession. But the market for new construction
has slowed, and some observers wonder whether there will be enough buyers
to go around for the number of new highrises that have yet to break ground,
in addition to the many that already are underway and still have units
for sale. A quick perusal
by New Homes counts more than two-dozen new highrises totaling around
5,800 units with at least some of their condos on the market. Some of
these buildings are far along, with sales of more than 70 percent, but
some are brand new and have yet to sign a single contract. Even if half
of these units already are spoken for and dont return to the market
(something thats becoming more and more common), that leaves nearly
3,000 units for sale in new downtown highrises. That doesnt include
all of the mid-rises, smaller condo buildings, conversions and townhouses
being built throughout the city. And it doesnt include buildings
that have not yet made announcements. Some of the
newest buildings to enter the fray include 390 N. Canal, a 34-story highrise
with 218 units planned by the Habitat Company, and Two River Place, a
17-story tower by Enterprise Development planned for 167 units. In Central
Station, Enterprise is starting to market a second Museum Park tower,
with 170 condos, and Bejco Development has announced Prairie Tower, a
23-story highrise with 156 units. Rezmar has begun pre-selling Hudson
Towers 228 units in River North. Estimates
are that the city absorbed more than 4,000 new units in major projects
last year, but experts predict that pace will drop by up to 50 percent
in 2002. While that would still make this a healthy year after the boom
of 2001, some newer highrise projects may find it hard to build momentum,
and others may be postponed or scrapped altogether. Deposits
are refundable if a development fails, but that may be small consolation
to buyers who waste months
because theyve settled on a building that will never exist. The good
news, from a supply standpoint, is that many projects already have been
shelved or postponed. That leaves buyers with a wide variety of existing
(or nearly existing) new highrises to choose from, and it will allow developers
to sell off current product, some of which was returned to the market
by investors whose optimism proved deeper than their pockets. Financing
for new highrises already has tightened up. Lenders who imposed presale
requirements of 25 to 30 percent last year are now asking builders to
sell 40 to 50 percent of units before they can start construction. The projects
that are far along, and even some that arent, report the start of
what looks like a strong spring season. The Heritage at Millennium Park,
a 356-unit tower with a beveled glass façade planned for a site
directly behind the Chicago Cultural Center, is 60 percent sold, according
to Herb Emmerman, of Equity Marketing Services. LR Development
is far along at its Residences on Lake Shore Park, a group of three highrises
on former Northwester University land, at Lake Shore and Pearson. The
Pearson, a 180-unit tower, was nearly 90 percent sold at press time, and
the 26-story highrise at 840 N. Lake Shore was 70 percent sold, according
to Ted Weldon, senior vice president of LR Development. LR began marketing
the Belvedere in December and has sold 17 of the 42 units under construction
in the boutique building, where prices start in the $500s. We
had a fantastic January, and were seeing the market come back,
Weldon says. As with everyone in the city, we did see a considerable
slowdown post Sept. 11, and it was the weakest fall weve had in
several years, but buyers who came in were serious, so there was less
window shopping. Traffic went up in January, and were seeing serious
buyers. Available
units include condos with two bedrooms, two bedrooms plus dens, some combination
units, a full-floor 56th-story penthouse and one three-level Skyhouse,
OConnor says. Base prices on remaining units range from $638,000
to $4.35 million. One reason
sales havent slowed further despite the recession and job losses
is a function of demographics. As the baby boomers retire, empty nesters,
who tend to be less affected by the vicissitudes of the economy, have
become a major part of the highrise market. Some projects, including the
Heritage, report that these older home buyers account for up to half of
all sales. Empty
nesters have a large amount of equity in suburban homes and their number
is growing exponentially, so there is really more than enough market to
fill existing opportunities, Emmerman says. Sure, if we had
a major recession, that would throw monkey wrench in. But weve had
a blip, and were recovering and most projects are selling well. Every highrise
developer argues that his or her project is unique and can withstand a
slowdown, but many in the current crop make good arguments. Harmon Development
Group is taking deposits on units planned for 1000 S. Michigan, a residential
complex envisioned as three highrises, a 36-story tower on Michigan Avenue
and a pair of 32-story buildings on Wabash, for a total of 585 condos. The development
has not gotten final city approval yet largely because it is in a new
landmark district and must pass the Chicago Landmarks Commission as well
as the usual process, according to Andrew Zajac, vice president of sales
and marketing for Harmon. Zajac says that in addition to the quality of
the planned units and building, the cachet of a Michigan Avenue address
will see the project through. Plans for
the building include luxuries such as a 24-hour concierge, an indoor dog
run, a golf simulator and an 80,000-square-foot health club with an indoor
pool. Zajac says financing for the development is in place but at press
time, would not say who Harmons lender was. The Heritage
at Millennium Park may not have a Michigan Avenue address, but it has
perhaps the next best thing, a site with nothing between it and Boul Mich
but the short and permanent Chicago Cultural Center. The Cultural
Center will protect the highrises lake and park views, and the buildings
curved glass face and modular design, by architects Soloman Cordwell Buenz
& Associates, will be clearly visible from Michigan Avenue. Architecture,
as well as a convenient West Loop location on the Kennedy Expressway,
may be the main attraction for Skybridge, a 38-story tower at 724 W. Washington.
Ralph Johnson, of Perkins & Will, designed the building with a series
of glass-enclosed walkways that connect what look like two distinct towers.
The glass skybridge is open to view on both sides and as they
gaze up the length of its 39 floors, passersby will be able to see residents
walking from one part of the building to the other. Legacy Development
also is priced competitively with its new highrise, the Tower Residences
of Prairie District Homes, 1802 S. Prairie. Condos in the planned 23-story
South Loop highrise start in the $180s. Were
on Lake Michigan and a park with unobstructed views of both, a block from
the Magnificent Mile, Weldon says. And were very unique
in the way we deliver the product. We offer a process where customers
can very personally customize their homes to fulfill whatever their dream
is. We basically do a luxury single-family home within a highrise. Because LRs
three new highrises constitute a single project, the developer was able
to meet its presale requirement with sales in the earlier phases and to
begin construction on the Belvedere immediately. Most new projects can
expect a longer wait before they begin construction in a field thats
looking a little crowded. I do think theres a fair number on the market, Weldon says. For the planned highrises that havent started, I think not all of those actually will be built. I like to see developments going forward, but people are always testing the water.
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